TrendTimer Trading System
Annualized Returns 1992 - 2013
S&P 500 +6.95%
Our TrendTimer trading system actively trades the market in order to
profit whether the market is rising or declining. It's ideal for S&P 500
bull & bear mutual funds, E-mini futures or other instruments
based upon the S&P 500.
Annual Results 1992 - 2013
Our Average Annual Return is based upon trading
2 E-mini futures, starting with $100K each year.
The Annualized Return is based upon compounded
results using the following formula:
Current Equity / (ES closing price X $50) equals
the number of ES contracts for the next trade.
The above results do not include reinvesting dividends,
interest, and other earnings, or taxes.
Win-Loss Ratio & Percentage of Winning Trades
S&P 500 Average Annual Drawdown 14.53%
TrendTimer Average Annual Drawdown 13.38%
S&P 500 Maximum Drawdown 51.92%
TrendTimer Maximum Drawdown 23.13%
TrendTimer is our daily charting methodology which eliminates emotional
reactions to market movements that often result in losing trades.
The two sample charts below demonstrate
trades based upon the 3-Day Trendline Count
and the 3rd Day of Position rule.
Example: 3-Day Trendline rule confirms Long Trade
The chart above demonstrates a Long Trade being activated and
then confirmed on 4/7/93.
When the Trendline intersects or is below the magenta or red intraday
data bars at 3:30 & 3:40 PM ET, the Trendline has activated a
potential Long trade. Once activated a trader then reviews the
corresponding two trading rules used for 3-Day Trendlines. The
first rule confirmed the Long trade as follows:
1st Trading Rule For 3-Day Trendlines
If both the magenta or red bars close or equal or are "higher" than
the previous day's corresponding magenta and red bars close,
then a Long trade is confirmed.
Example: "3rd Day of Position" Rule
This rule requires that all confirmed Short trades using 3-Day Trendlines
have to be profitable at the time of the red bar close to be confirmed.
The chart above demonstrates the entry price of the Long trade on
1/25/04 was 1169.75, which was exactly the same price as the
red bar close on 1/28/05, thus, the trade was NOT profitable
by 1 tick. Therefore, the confirmed Short trade was negated.
The Long position continued to be held as the market moved
higher, generating a 22.75 point profit per E-mini contract
as demonstrated in the chart below.
Contact us if you have any questions
Money Back Guarantee
TrendTimer's Long & Short recommended trades are guaranteed
to be profitable during the 12 month period following purchase
date otherwise a full refund will be provided upon request.
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SEC required disclosure: From 1992 thru 1998 the S&P 500 Futures data was
used (1999 to present ES E-mini data) and rolled over each expiration month
using $30 commission/slippage and $50 for each contract point based upon the
daily closing prices. The results of reinvesting dividends, interest, and other
earnings, or taxes, are not included. The results prior to 1998 are back-tested
and were achieved by means of a retroactive application of TrendTimer's
trading rules. Historical back-tested results may not reflect the impact of
any material market, nor economic factors that might have been utilized.
It should not be assumed that the TrendTimer trade recommendations
made in the future will be profitable or will equal past performance.